Osaka Gas (TSE:9532) has filed a shelf registration for bonds totaling ¥250 billion, bringing fresh attention to its funding strategy. This kind of move can affect how investors view a company’s financial flexibility in the future.

See our latest analysis for Osaka Gas.

Osaka Gas’s shelf registration news arrives while the stock has been on a tear, climbing 27.3% over the past month and up a striking 56.7% year-to-date in share price terms. With momentum building and a total shareholder return of 73.5% over the last year, investors seem increasingly optimistic about the company’s direction following recent moves to strengthen its capital position.

If Osaka Gas’s surge has you thinking bigger, now could be the perfect time to broaden your search and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With shares surging and fresh capital moves making headlines, it is worth asking whether Osaka Gas’s recent momentum represents an undervalued opportunity for investors, or if the market is already pricing in its future growth potential.

Price-to-Earnings of 11.8x: Is it justified?

Osaka Gas currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.8x, which puts it below the peer average but above its own implied “fair” multiple.

The P/E ratio reflects what investors are willing to pay today for each unit of earnings. For Osaka Gas, this means the market puts a moderate premium on its ability to generate profit, in line with companies in stable, established sectors such as utilities.

Compared to peers in the Asian Gas Utilities industry, where the average P/E is 13.4x, Osaka Gas appears attractively valued. However, the SWS model’s calculated “fair” P/E for the company is 7.9x. This suggests the stock is trading at a significant premium to that benchmark. If the market were to move toward this lower fair ratio, Osaka Gas’s current price could be viewed as steep given its forecasts for declining earnings and revenue growth.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Osaka Gas

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 11.8x (OVERVALUED)

However, slowing revenue and declining net income growth could challenge Osaka Gas’s current momentum, especially if market expectations shift or if competition intensifies.

Find out about the key risks to this Osaka Gas narrative.

Another View: DCF Model Suggests a Different Story

While Osaka Gas’s price-to-earnings ratio may make the stock look fairly valued among peers, our DCF model presents a much more conservative picture. The SWS DCF model estimates fair value at ¥1,916.34, which is well below today’s share price. Is the market missing something, or is optimism running ahead of fundamentals?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

9532 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 20259532 Discounted Cash Flow as at Nov 2025

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Osaka Gas for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 933 undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own Osaka Gas Narrative

If you see the story differently or like to draw your own conclusions, you can put together your own view in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Osaka Gas research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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