The 2026 Cherry Blossom Forecast for Japan
On January 8, 2026, the Japan Meteorological Corporation (JMC) released its second cherry blossom forecast of the season, outlining the expected opening and peak bloom dates for Somei Yoshino, the most widespread sakura variety across Japan.
Drawing on meteorological data collected since last autumn, the forecast was issued earlier than usual, and the agency reportedly used artificial intelligence to refine its projections, helping travelers plan their spring trips with greater confidence and precision.
Take a look at the official JMC graphic below
@JMC
The blooming pattern typically follows a south to north trajectory, in line with how temperatures rise throughout the archipelago. Of course, these are simply predicted forecasts, and variations in the blooming period and the time of peak bloom may change. Additionally, weather conditions such as heavy rains or winds may also affect how the flowers present.
AloJapan.com