The WTA Tokyo final is here. It’s Belinda Bencic vs Linda Noskova. Last Word on Tennis is back with more best bets for this final. Bencic is seeking her second title of the year, while Noskova is seeking her first since 2024. In this meeting of two players in the Top 20 in the World, I provide a few different bets, so let me know in the comments if you agree with my picks. As always, thank you for reading.
WTA Tokyo final
Bencic – Noskova: October 25th, 2025 04:00
H2H: 0-0
Belinda Bencic and Linda Noskova will meet for the title at WTA Tokyo. Somewhat surprisingly, they’ve never met before Tokyo, despite both being in the Top 20 in the World rankings. I’m going to speculate that Noskova’s age is the biggest reason they’ve never played. It simply hadn’t happened until now. Whatever the reason, the match is set, and it’s a huge opportunity for both.
This is the second final at Tokyo for Bencic. She made the final here back in 2015, at the young age of just 18! This is her sixth overall appearance in this tournament. Bencic is 36-17 overall in ’25, 28-12 on a hardcourt, and 7-3 in her last ten matches. Her only losses during that time were to Iga Swiatek, Jasmine Paolini, and Coco Gauff, meaning she’s playing at the level her current ranking demands.
Noskova is 38-25 overall, 26-16 on a hardcourt, and also 7-3 in her last ten matches. Noskova’s losses came to Amanda Anisimova, Elena Rybakina, and Katie Boulter. The Boulter loss sticks out, but it’s not the worst loss in the world, as Boulter is still in the Top 75 in the World. That said, it does seem like Bencic showed a bit more fight in her losses, as she had two of those three losses go to a third set. Noskova only had one of her losses taken to a third set.
One thing definitely working in Noskova’s favor is the fact that she got a free walk into the final because Elena Rybakina pulled out due to injury. Bencic, on the other hand, played a three-set slugfest with Sofia Kenin. In fact, four of Bencic’s last five matches have gone all three sets. She’s played a lot of tennis, and that could absolutely work in Noskova’s favor, as she’s had back-to-back walkovers. Noskova has played one actual match in this tournament. She did play one set against Anna Kalinskaya, but it was clear from the outset that Kalinskaya wasn’t even close to 50%, let alone ready for a competitive match.
Best Bets to Make
Main Bet
The books have Noskova as the favorite, and I’m going to bet it’s because of how rested she is due to withdrawals. Even then, she’s only the favorite by about .25 at most. If you’re taking Noskova in this match, then I would do so straight up at 1.84 on Unibet. There are no previous matches to draw on for analysis, and that makes things a little tougher. Betting on a game total is even trickier when you’re dealing with one player who has played a lot of tennis, and another who has basically walked into the final.
That being said, Noskova winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Noskova winning @1.84 @Unibet
Second Bet
I personally think Belinda Bencic is the way to go in this match. I know she’s played more tennis, but I think that’s going to prove to be an asset here, not a detriment. Bencic is playing at a level that befits her current ranking, and I think that’s the ultimate X-factor here. She’s also having the better overall year and has been far better on a hardcourt than Noskova. Bencic will finally get her win at Tokyo.
That being said, Bencic winning is a value bet.
Value bet/the best odds: Bencic winning @2.06 @Betfair
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
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