Osaka and Navarro meet in a high-stakes battle of experience and form at Bad Homburg.
Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
Wild card Naomi Osaka is set to face fifth seed Emma Navarro today in the round of 16 at the Bad Homburg Open. The four-time Grand Slam champion, Osaka, opened her campaign with a tight straight-sets win over qualifier Olga Danilovic, needing tiebreaks in both sets.
Navarro, meanwhile, cruised past Marta Kostyuk with a dominant performance. With both players having picked up a title this season, Osaka at the WTA 125 level and Navarro on the main tour, this clash brings a compelling mix of experience and rising form.
Naomi Osaka gets her first grass win of the year in Bad Homburg.
Defeats Olga Danilovic 7-6(6), 7-6(4) to reach the 2nd round.
Hit 16 (!) aces in two sets and won 88% first serve points. Pretty impressive.
Faces Emma Navarro in R2! pic.twitter.com/vFEKLSW8C0
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) June 23, 2025
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Naomi Osaka vs. Emma Navarro Preview
Osaka’s has been a rollercoaster, marked by glimpses of her old brilliance but lacking momentum. She ended a four-year title drought with a WTA 125 win in Saint-Malo and reached the Auckland final before injury forced a withdrawal.
While she made the fourth round in Miami and Rome, early exits at Indian Wells, Madrid, Roland Garros, and Berlin have stalled her rhythm. Across 20 matches, she’s tallied 140 aces, winning 57.9% on first serve and converting 39.9% of break points.
Navarro opened her year with promise, reaching the quarterfinals in Adelaide and the Australian Open, where she beat Ons Jabeur and Daria Kasatkina before falling to Iga Swiatek. She grabbed her second career title in Merida with a rare double bagel over Emiliana Arango.
But her results since have been hit or miss, with quarterfinals in Charleston, Strasbourg, and London mixed in with early-round losses. Across 34 matches, she’s served 49 aces, won 61.9% on first serve, won 46.1% of return points, and converted 48.1% of break chances.
Naomi Osaka vs. Emma Navarro Head-to-Head Record
Emma Navarro holds a 1-0 lead in her head-to-head against Naomi Osaka, having scored a dominant win in their only previous meeting, last year at Wimbledon. The American breezed past Osaka in straight sets, dishing out a breadstick in the second.
Now, they meet again on grass, with Navarro aiming to extend her upper hand and momentum, while Osaka looks to turn the tables and keep her own campaign alive.
YearEventRoundWinnerScore2024WimbledonRound of 64Emma Navarro6-4, 6-1
Naomi Osaka vs. Emma Navarro Comparison Naomi OsakaCategoryEmma Navarro56Current Ranking10304-174Career W-L223-12817-8YTD W-L19-157Career Titles24Grand Slams00YTD Titles1Naomi Osaka vs. Emma Navarro Prediction
Osaka comes in with more experience but less rhythm, while Navarro has been the steadier performer this season, even if not flawless. Given their Wimbledon history and Navarro’s comfort on grass, the American could edge this again if she maintains her composure. Still, if Osaka’s serve clicks, she’s tough to stop.
Prediction: Naomi Osaka in straight sets
Naomi Osaka vs. Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025 Betting Odds
With Osaka priced at 3/4 and Navarro at 21/20, the bookmakers see the former world No. 1 as a slight favorite. But the narrow margin suggests a near toss-up.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Naomi Osaka: 3/4
Emma Navarro: 21/20
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Games Over 21.5: 41/50
Total Games Under 21.5: 19/20
Total Games won by Osaka Over 12.5: 11/10
Total Games won by Navarro Over 11.5: 13/25
Total Sets Over 2.5: 7/5
Total Sets Under 2.5: 11/20
(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Also Read: WTA Bad Homburg Open 2025: Prize Money Breakdown
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