Naomi Osaka will face Paula Badosa in the round of 64 at the WTA Rome event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers’ advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Naomi Osaka as the most likely winner of the match.

“Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday’s Osaka-Badosa match 10,000 times,” said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

“Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Naomi Osaka with a win probability of 65% and Paula Badosa with 35%.”

For expanded analysis of Thursday’s match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Osaka vs. Badosa predictions page.

Osaka vs. Badosa Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 32?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday’s Osaka-Badosa women’s singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Osaka a 65% chance of winning against Badosa at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Osaka has a 62% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

 

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis’ rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Naomi Osaka vs. Paula Badosa Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type
Osaka
Badosa

Moneyline
-227
+175

First Set
-200
+162

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Osaka vs. Badosa Picks and Best Bets

Our model’s biggest edge in the Osaka vs. Badosa match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Osaka vs. Badosa Updates and Essential Details

The WTA Italian Open match between Naomi Osaka and Paula Badosa is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 5:00AM ET.

Who: Naomi Osaka vs. Paula Badosa
Date: Thursday, May 8, 2025
Approx. Time: 5:00AM ET/2:00AM PT
Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women’s Singles 2025
Round: Round of 64

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com’s comprehensive preview of Thursday’s Osaka vs. Badosa match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Naomi Osaka vs. Paula Badosa picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Naomi Osaka, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat Paula Badosa at the WTA Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Osaka vs. Badosa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Stay informed with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers’ ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men’s and women’s player in the world.

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