13th April 2025 – (Hong Kong) Travel agencies in Hong Kong have observed a significant shift in holiday preferences for the upcoming Easter break, with a growing number of residents opting for local tours and “staycations” instead of trips to Japan. Concerns about potential earthquakes in Japan, particularly predictions of a major seismic event in 2025, have influenced travel decisions.
The travel industry reports a decline in inquiries for tours to Japan following the Lunar New Year. Many Hongkongers, traditionally enthusiastic about visiting Japan, are reconsidering their plans, with some postponing trips or choosing alternative destinations such as Taiwan and Europe.
Experts have highlighted ongoing seismic risks in Japan, including areas along the Nankai Trough, known for its earthquake activity. Although scientists caution against specific predictions, the heightened awareness of potential natural disasters has created uncertainty among travelers. This trend has also boosted interest in domestic activities. Local tour participation has increased, with hotel bookings through travel agencies rising by 20%. Some residents are opting for shorter local getaways before considering overseas travel later in the year.
Meanwhile, mainland China has emerged as a popular destination for Hongkongers, with steady demand for tours to regions such as Yunnan and Sichuan. High-speed rail trips to cities like Xi’an and Guizhou have also gained traction, supported by expanded routes and stable pricing.
Retailers and restaurants in Hong Kong are leveraging the shift in holiday trends by offering Easter-themed promotions to attract families. While the catering sector expects moderate improvement during the holiday period, outbound travel continues to impact local dining businesses. Travel agencies remain optimistic about the future of outbound tourism, noting that concerns over natural disasters are typically short-term. They anticipate a rebound in demand for Japan tours as fears subside, though they are prepared to adjust offerings in line with shifting market preferences.
AloJapan.com